With the lack of truly great teams around the country combined with injuries and off-field issues, many of the teams in the Top 25 are vulnerable on a weekly basis, which makes for an exciting and chaotic regular season.
In looking at the schedule for this weekend’s games, there are plenty of opportunities for more chaos and some teams that could be ripe for an upset.
Based on the situations and point spreads, I think the following matchups will be prime opportunities for some top teams to fall this Saturday.
No. 5 Notre Dame at No. 2 FSU (-12)
This is the game that seems the least likely for an upset, but it feels like Florida State has been playing with fire all season. The Seminoles should have lost to Clemson when Jameis Winston was suspended and they let Oklahoma State hang around to make things interesting late in the game. Notre Dame still has a lot to prove, but this would the perfect opportunity for the Irish to make a claim as one of the best teams in the country and for Everett Golson to emerge as a Heisman Trophy candidate.
An upset would also feel like appropriate karma for the way Jimbo Fisher has handled all the issues with Jameis Winston.
Tennessee at No. 3 Ole Miss (-16)
Despite being 3-3 and 0-2 in the SEC, this Tennessee team is so much better than what we saw a year ago. While the Vols are young, it’s clear Butch Jones has been able to bring in a ton of young talent and the future is very bright in Knoxville.
The biggest problem going into this game against Ole Miss is that Tennessee’s biggest weakness is on the offensive line, which is a huge problem when going up against the Ole Miss front four, arguably the best defensive line in college football.
Robert Nkemdiche might kill someone Saturday.
I’m joking. Kinda.
However, I still wonder if the Rebels might suffer a letdown after having two huge wins in the past two weeks. If so, the Volunteers are more than capable of picking up a season-defining win.
No. 4 Baylor at West Virginia (-8)
Baylor needed an incredible comeback to beat TCU last week and the Bears have shown flaws over the past two weeks. Giving up 58 points against any opponent is less than ideal and Baylor struggled in the 28-7 win over Texas.
(How weird is it to say Baylor struggled to a 21-point win over the Longhorns?)
Morgantown, West Virginia has never been an easy place to play, and this is the type of game that should favor the Mountaineers as Dana Holgerson is a coach who flourishes in shootouts. He seems like the type who excels in shootouts of any kind.
West Virginia has already had good showings against Alabama and Oklahoma this season. I think this might be the time they finally knock off a Top 5 team.
No. 10 Georgia at Arkansas (-3.5)
It’s the No. 10 team in the country against an unranked opponent, but a 3.5 point line shows Vegas knows Arkansas is better than its record and presents a huge challenge for the Bulldogs.
I was stunned at UGA’s 34-0 win on the road at Missouri last week, which was one of the best wins for Mark Richt in the past decade with the program, but I think it’ll be tough to maintain that level again this weekend for the second consecutive long road trip.
I really hope I’m wrong, but I think Arkansas will have success running the ball against the Georgia defense and I think the offense will finally feel the effects of all the attrition in the backfield - not just the loss of Todd Gurley.
Kentucky at LSU (-9)
What has Vegas seen from LSU this season to make the Tigers a nine-point favorite in this contest? The quarterback play in Baton Rouge has been a disaster and Kentucky has a ton of momentum right now.
Aside from a questionable call at the end of the game against Florida, the Wildcats could easily be 6-0.
LSU has more talent, but I’d love to see Mark Stoops completely out-coach Les Miles (something that isn’t particularly hard to do) and lead Big Blue Nation to a road victory.